kalshi valuation. The round. kalshi valuation

 
 The roundkalshi valuation  Kalshi does not file Information Returns with the IRS, and so there is no IRS form to furnish to taxpayers

On Kalshi’s platform, event contracts will get their prices from how much traders will pay. Reward-based opinion and idea sharing app Probo is in talks to raise $12-15 million in a Series A round, according to three sources aware of details of the deal. In June, Kalshi sought to list contracts that would let users bet on whether a. com | 646-995-0104 Kalshi is the first regulated exchange in the US to trade event contracts. Company profile page for Kalshi Inc including stock price, company news, press releases, executives. 15934. Kalshi Inc. Information on valuation, funding, cap tables, investors, and executives for Kalshi. Kalshi Competitors & AlternativesAdd Company. Head of Engineering & Chief Of Staff. Nov 22, 2023. Kalshi sues CFTC over blocking of election market trading. Thanks for responding. fit # 102Live home fitness training powered by computer vision. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure. 6M per year. Its exchange allows investors to buy yes or no positions on possible events through a novel asset class called event contracts. Kalshi has proactively and extensively discussed the political event contracts with the Commission and staff over the course of approximately 36 meetings for nearly a year. &nbsp;She also inaugurated 3. Good Physical Test Campus: –. Thursday and Saturday. Closes at 11:59pm EDT for scheduled maintenance. 5000Kalshi’s Rationale for Election Markets. 65%. 2; 11 (2) Kalshi will clear all Kalshi Binary Options through LedgerX and LedgerX will clear all Kalshi Binary Options; The Kalshi trading community seems to agree that New York City will have a white Christmas, but still isn’t quite sure whether things will shake out as a simple flurry or a torrential blizzard. And in many states, betting or wagering on elections is prohibited by statute or common law. TitleCo-Founder & CEO. This guide outlines exchange functionality, market details and API architecture. Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina has opened the 2. That would be true whether or not Kalshi’s reasoning for launching the service was accurate: allowing companies and individuals to bet upwards of $100 million on congressional elections to hedge. San Francisco Bay Area. Kalshi. Contracts are composed of Yes or No questions. At its core, this measurement provides a more stable and reliable gauge of inflation, allowing economists, policymakers, and consumers to gain. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. Love Kalshi! Date: May 09 2023. Tweet. Kalshi would announce any such decision on its. Company Type For Profit. The NDX provides a snapshot of the. For example, NASA announced a manned mission to the moon. The U. Its a pretty cool exchange that focuses on contracts related to commodities and current events. Closes at 10:00pm EDT for scheduled maintenance. Join the crowd to help forecast what's coming next!CFTC issued an order Friday blocking Kalshi exchange from issuing event contracts based on who will control the U. The hardest part: regulatory approval. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. 2 of the Rulebook, if any event or any circumstance which may have a. Kalshi provides to each member a page displaying the member’s profits and losses (P&L) for years they traded as well as downloadable access to trades and settlements in that period. In a decision announced last week, the CFTC decided Kalshi’s cash-settled political event contracts would cross the line into unlawful. S. The estimated additional pay is $10,586 per year. C. 28 as a date by which it hopes to decide whether the New York-based startup Kalshi can offer. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. Kalshi markets are a way to get a glimpse into the future, which we can use to make better decisions. Kalshi is a financial exchange offering access to a diverse range of assets, including event contracts on GDP, Debt Ceiling, and more, as well as traditional assets like S&P. 63. Predictions marketplace KalshiEX LLC sued the U. The NDX provides a snapshot of the. Senate and House after the 2024 elections. Its exchange allows investors to buy yes or no positions on possible events through a novel. You think it's going to happen, so you buy contracts for it. investors. Plans by prediction market Kalshi to let users bet on which party will control the chambers of Congress have been turned down by regulators at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Is this free money? Published on February 17, 2021. Kalshi has an overall rating of 4. promulgated, with respect to Kalshi Binary Options, subject to the following conditions: 10 (1) Kalshi and LedgerX will require all Kalshi Binary Options to be fully collateralized positions, as defined by Commission regulation 39. Thursday and Saturday. You can trade on the outcome of future events, including those that affect your wallet like inflation, Joe Biden's approval rating, and even Leo's chances of winning an Oscar. Opens at 8:00am EDT. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. Contingencies: Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6. Kalshi does not sponsor, endorse, recommend, or represent in any way the quality, value, utility as a market proxy, utility as a market benchmark, or any other use of any index. These regulations require Kalshi to be able to verify the identity of any person (s) opening an account and to maintain records of their information. 21-11, which (1) provides no-action relief to KalshiEX LLC (Kalshi), a designated contract market, and LedgerX, LLC (LedgerX), a derivatives clearing. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. ↓0. 4. 5 ar b it r at ion pane l 52 c hapt e r 11 l imitat ion of l iab il it y; t ime pe r iod in w hic h to b r ing ac t ions; gove r ning l aw 52Welcome to Kalshi exchange's trader and developer documentation. Kalshi, a startup exchange that aims to introduce a new derivatives market for betting on the outcome of Congressional elections, withdrew its application for the launch ahead of a vote by the. 8 out of 5, based on over 18 reviews left anonymously by employees. gz; Algorithm Hash digest; SHA256: c9b3bb3beaf14b7ad2a3a18dfc5642fc18529e57c7e7ff93a49912c61441618c: Copy : MD5As you can see, when inflation exceeds Kalshi’s estimate, the S&P falls, and when inflation falls short of the estimate, the S&P rises (in fact, the “reaction function” here is a bit more. 418. - The salary is very competitive since the company is located at New York. You can trade on the outcome of future events, including those that affect your wallet like inflation, Joe Biden's approval rating, and even Leo's chances of winning an Oscar. Kalshi, a Silicon Valley-based online exchange that lets users trade on the outcome of real-world events, has raised $30 million in a Series A funding round led by Sequoia Capital. 99. Kalshi Inc. 8%. Reward-based opinion and idea sharing app Probo is in talks to raise $12-15 million in a Series A round, according to three sources aware of details of the deal. Kalshi's valuation in February 2021 was $120M. The Market Outcome Review Process is the process that Kalshi will follow in rare circumstances when necessary in order to ensure that a market outcome was determined consistently with the contract’s terms and conditions. Luana Lopes Lara | Founder at Kalshi luana@kalshi. Kalshi’s political markets are also finding some. Each post has like and comment buttons, but there’s also an option to buy the same position. 01. info. Kalshi, a San Francisco, CA-based federally regulated exchange dedicated to trading on event outcomes, raised $30m in Series A funding. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure. Reload to refresh your session. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure. S. m. 70km road from the ECB square to Kalshi which was developed and widened to six lanes from four lanes. >. The founders of the exchange, Kalshi, are live with Yahoo Finance's Julie Hyman at South by Southwest. Role Roadmap. forecast ↓0. 05@$0. On the other hand, critics of said contracts have arguedKalshiEX LLC, or simply Kalshi, is a U. That’s why we’re launching a Hackathon to jumpstart the development process using the new tools released today – the developer(s) of the best public trading tool using the new API will receive $1,000 in Kalshi credit. Small minimum trade amounts. I also just want to let you and others know that we actually have two ways to link your account: Through our partner Plaid who is trusted by Venmo, Robinhood, Coinbase and others to safely, quickly, and securely transfer funds. June 23, 2023. Organized Mock Tests from time to time: –. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. In rejecting Kalshi’s event c ontracts, the CFTC exceeded its lawful authority and engaged in arbitrary and. The CFTC has 90 days to make a decision on Kalshiex LLC's self-certified contracts or try to extend that period. Kalshi CEO and cofounder Tarek Mansour told Reuters: “Access to tools for actively managing election risks is exclusively reserved for institutions and the wealthy, leaving the average American. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. By Zoya Hasan Forbes Staff Kalshi on the 2022 30 Under 30 - Finance - Kalshi lets investors place bets on future events, like how many Americans will receive a. At close, each contract is worth $1 if you're right, and $0 otherwise. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. Mansour cofounded Kalshi with. The 'Fed Funds Rate' is the interest rate range set by the Open Markets Committee of the U. 2. On June 5, Kalshi made a strong implication that it anticipates U. 97¢ 5¢. Kalshi (is the first federally regulated exchange where you can trade on the outcome of events. Commodity Futures Trading Commission staff have recommended that the agency reject a bid by the exchange Kalshi Inc. ago. At close, each contract is worth $1 if you're right, and $0 otherwise. Kalshi leaders urged people to submit their comments and even launched a free-play contest with a $100,000 prize if they could correctly pick the 35 US Senate and 435 US House races. is now shopping a plan to let hedge funds easily wager millions of dollars on more real-life events. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. Recently approved by the CFTC, Kalshi lets people place five-figure wagers on the outcome of the Grammys, the next Covid wave, and future SEC commissioners. We couldn’t find her exact net worth. We will request personal information from both new. 2(a)(3)(iv) that requires Kalshi to certify that the contracts to be listed comply with the CEA and Commission regulations. Kalshi IPO. Track what Kalshi's markets are predicting for FEDDECISION (Fed meeting), or trade it yourself. Kalshi does not sponsor, endorse, recommend, or represent in any way the quality, value, utility as a. In a world where high-speed Internet has lowered trading and monitoring costs, and where day trading in the stock market gains popularity every day, Kalshi has tapped into the market of creating prediction markets for non-business, non. Today most participants on Kalshi fall into the first two categories. Kalshi Inc operates as a regulated futures exchange dedicated to trading on event outcomes. Closes at 10:00pm EDT for scheduled maintenance. The CPI is computed based on the value of a basket of common goods, like food, energy, housing, and transportation. A new exchange aims to make it easier to hedge against major business and political events. Fee Schedule Changes. Their latest funding was raised on Feb 17, 2021 from a Series A round. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. Market reactions and contract trading implications. Kalshi is a regulated exchange dedicated to trading directly on the outcomes of future events. An exchange is a highly complex machine with complex cash flows. 31 Pitch Deck Slide Examples: The Good, The Bad, The Ugly. Luana and Tarek completed their degrees, set up shop in San Francisco, and began their journey working together. It functions as a federally regulated exchange where users can trade on the outcome of events. Kalshi, a startup exchange that aims to introduce a new derivatives market for betting on the outcome of Congressional elections, withdrew its application for the launch ahead of a vote by the. The estimated base pay is $110,001 per year. Investors often seek safer assets like gold and U. 2023. Kalshi has raised $36 million and processed $10 million in trades since launching in July 2021. Company Type For Profit. Kalshi has minimal hierarchy and few titles, but has broad ranges of experience represented within roles. When the market is settled, you'll receive $1 for every correct contract you own. This number represents the median, which is the midpoint of the ranges from our proprietary Total Pay Estimate model and based on salaries collected from our users. Kalshi is the first federally regulated financial exchange where you can trade on the outcome of real world events. Core inflation, a crucial economic indicator, is a measure that excludes the often-volatile food and energy prices when assessing the overall trend of rising prices. The San Francisco-based startup was a part of Y Combinator’s Winter 2019 batch. Market reactions to a government shutdown are typically adverse, creating uncertainty and impacting stock prices. Track what Kalshi's. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. This likelihood is denoted by the price of the contract as time passes the value of the contract changes based on How likely it is that the event happens. Indeed, I am joined by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara joining me here at South by Southwest. Core inflation, a crucial economic indicator, is a measure that excludes the often-volatile food and energy prices when assessing the overall trend of rising prices. Upstart financial exchange Kalshi is giving investors a chance to trade on whether they think. Everything from inflation trends, to spikes in President Biden’s approval. : The Indicator from Planet Money Peer into the crystal ball with Kalshi. “All of whom said. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. Table of Contents. Kalshi received 225 job applications so far from the Greylock tech fair in a few days! Excited to be chatting with all the incredible talent. 1. The CFTC announced on Friday night that it had begun its 90-day evaluation of KalshiEX LLC’s self-certified contracts. W15: San Francisco, CA, USA: Apply: Gather gather. Event contracts offer direct exposure to or a hedge to a wide range of risks including inflation, fed rates, debt ceiling, recessions, student loans, politics, climate and weather, and more. The expiration date for the contracts would be Feb. Nasdaq range. 2; 11 (2) Kalshi will clear all Kalshi Binary Options through LedgerX and LedgerX will clear all Kalshi Binary Options;The Kalshi trading community seems to agree that New York City will have a white Christmas, but still isn’t quite sure whether things will shake out as a simple flurry or a torrential blizzard. The CFTC said Kalshi’s cash-settled political event contracts would involve unlawful gaming, and it has therefore banned them from being listed or available for clearing or trading. Nov 22, 2023. We want to achieve great things — most of which are difficult. Kalshi is the first federally regulated exchange dedicated to trading on future events. This post is. When the market is settled, you'll receive $1 for every correct contract you own. In Kalshi’s annual market for Euro Area inflation in 2022, the highest priced position at the moment is 90 cents on the EU’s inflation peaking higher than 9%. The CFTC initiated a review of the contracts, pursuant to CFTC Regulation 40. Exclusive. SAN FRANCISCO-- ( BUSINESS WIRE )-- Kalshi, the first federally regulated exchange dedicated to trading on event outcomes, announced today that it has. Kalshi and PredictIt are both great platforms for participating in prediction markets, each with their own unique strengths and weaknesses. This salary range is based on the current available market data, and represents the expected salary range for this role. Opens at 8:00am EDT. Competitor Name RevenueKalshi is a federally regulated exchange that has invented an entirely new asset class – event contracts. kalshi. 9% in 2022. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. Event Contract Trading with Kalshi. So in 2018, he started working on Kalshi with fellow MIT alum Luana Lopes Lara. How much funding has Kalshi raised till date?. 78. ”. “Sequoia and Elevation Capital will put most of the amount in Probo at over 4X premium on its last valuation,” said one of the sources requesting anonymity. Tarek Mansour, Kalshi co-founder & CEO, on what the markets are saying about the big economic questions. Top 10 NDA Coaching in Allahabad: – Major Kalshi Classes. S. 6(e) st at es as f ol l ows: " I f K al shi det ermi nes i n t he f ut ure t o i mpose dues or addi t i onal f ees, t he Member wi l l. This role is one part data engineering, one part data analysis. Parameters. However, almost a week later, the CFTC remains silent. Kalshi is not affiliated with the indices creators in any way or fashion and the indices creators do not sponsor or. 01. Thursday and Saturday. $30. 74M over 5 rounds. Our vision is to allow people to capitalize on what they know and what they believe in by making predictions on the outcome of things they’re interested in. Kalshi is a CFTC regulated financial exchange offering derivative products tied to real world events. When you invest in a market, Kalshi matches you with another user on the platform looking to purchase the opposite side. Kalshi’s political markets are also finding some. Some of the projects you may work on: Drive the collection of new data and the refinement of existing data sources and pipelines. Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara co-founded the first-ever federally regulated events exchange in Kalshi, which derives its name from a similar pronunciation of the word “everything” in Arabic. In fact, the word kalshi itself translates to ‘everything’ in Arabic. They are backed by big names in the VC space and give investors the opportunity to trade in a variety of markets, from the monthly inflation rate. The Exchange will provide trading at all times, except for periods of maintenance. The U. The deadline for CFTC to make a decision on Kalshi’s political event markets was Oct 28. 7. Or, more specifically, the success of it. Kalshi is a web-based platform to exchange event contracts. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. E-Mailtarek@kalshi. Reuters. Contracts are composed of Yes or No questions. S. For example, if you bought 100 contracts at 41 cents and their price rises to 83 cents, you can sell before the market closes. 058. Join the crowd to help forecast what's coming next!Kalshi has built the protective rails to comply with U. At the top of its homepage, under. Kalshi has identified the following Core Principles as potentially being affected by this amendment: Core Principle 2 (Compliance with Rules), Core Principle 4 (Prevention of Market 2 K al shi Rul ebook Rul e 3. News • Aug 30, 2021. Opens at 8:00am EDT. 15: Estimated Worth: $ 8. Treasuries. Your forecast is 0. Kalshi allows traders to invest up to twenty-five thousand dollars on a given contract, well beyond what PredictIt is allowed to accept. S. Expiration value: Data released. When the market is settled, you'll receive $1 for every correct contract you own. Opens at 8:00am EDT. 18:18:25. Kalshi's 2020 regulatory approval followed by the launch of the exchange in. This number represents the median, which is the midpoint of the ranges from our proprietary Total Pay Estimate model and based on salaries collected from our users. Tweet. has withdrawn its bid to get the US government’s blessing to list derivatives that would let Americans bet on the outcome of congressional elections, according a notice on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission website. S. Overall, Kalshi’s CPIR1 market is the most direct way to hedge against inflation. Here are the 30 companies TRAC's model identified as being the next unicorns, in alphabetical order, all with a valuation of less than $250 million. As a Trader, you will be using a combination of data analysis and a deep understanding of how markets operate to optimize execution of trades, manage risk, and adapt. I have not heard much about Kalshi in the markets. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. If two people believe there is a 60% chance of Yes happening, the contract for Yes will be priced at 60c and the No contract priced at 40c. It was designed for the sole purpose of doing just that. Join our Team. These factors may include your income, expenses, debt level, risk tolerance, investment and trading goals, and time horizon. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure. Contingencies: Before Settlement, Kalshi may, at its sole discretion, initiate the Market Outcome Review Process pursuant to Rule 6. #Khalasi tells the tale of the limitless sailor who has set out to explore through the shores of Gujarat. Jaclyn Robinson, Senior Manager of Content Marketing at Crunchbase. The exchange enables investors to buy yes or no positions in regards to whether an event will happen or not through a novel asset class, event contracts. The American presidential election in 2020 was its largest market to date, with more than £20m ($27m) traded, says Matthew Shaddick of Smarkets. The seed capital of her start-up was $36 million. Kalshi is the first regulated exchange where you can buy and sell contracts on the outcome of events. The first is to hold your contracts until the market closes. Rules. market, including Kalshi’s rules, and conducted a technical evaluation of Kalshi’s operational capabilities to evaluate whether Kalshi was in compliance with the core principles and corresponding regulations in accordance with Section 5(d) of the Act, 7. 01 and go up to $. Launch and further developments. Updated: Sep 26, 2023. S. Kalshi ,a startup led by Tarek Mansour, had sought to introduce a first-of-its-kind derivative contract related to the partisan control of Congress. Kalshi has received approval from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an authorized Designated Contract Market (DCM). Access Kalshi’s valuation and stock price. However, Major Kalshi Classes is the one that offers it the quickest. Kalshi allows you to mitigate and take control of. Kalshi is a federally regulated financial exchange that allows investors to trade directly on the anticipated outcome of future events. $30. Role Roadmap: In the Finance Operations role, you will be a one of the first members of Kalshi's Finance team. You can buy event contracts at any price between 1¢ and 99¢. Contract prices reflect the view of traders as to the chances of the event happening. Kalshi emailed users Tuesday with a subject line that read “Election contracts are almost here. Over $100,000 has been “wagered” on the market’s result. from kalshi. S. Kalshi offers an exchange where investors can trade stakes in yes or no questions. Kalshi is a website that allows you to bet on almost anything. Tweet. Please note. Closes at 10:00pm EDT for scheduled maintenance. The predictive landscape is changing, however, thanks to two recent MIT grads. The analysis conducted, determinations reached, and process followed resulting in the. S. Prediction market Kalshi is hinting strongly Friday that it expects U. Kalshi cofounders. Many of the early adopters are prediction market enthusiasts, lured away from PredictIt and Polymarket. Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Wednesday, saying the regulator overstepped its bounds when it rejected a proposal to use derivatives contracts to bet on congressional control. View secondary pricing information, VWAP and distribution waterfall. You can now trade over 300 markets, including finance, economics, politics, weather, and more. Your forecast is 0. 19. As a commercial derivatives market, it can accept trades amounting to scores of millions of. Additionally, the majority of participants on Kalshi today are retail traders, as opposed to institutional traders. There’s also a 51-cent valuation on Chinese inflation peaking higher than 3%, and a whopping 95 cents on U. | Learn more about Tarek Mansour's work experience, education, connections & more by visiting their profile on LinkedInKalshi may list iterations of the Contract corresponding to different statistical periods of <date>, ranging from November 10, 2021 to January 1, 2025. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. 15. If CPI data for September 2023 has been released by October 12, 2023, then the market resolves to Yes. The Exchange will provide trading at all times, except for periods of maintenance. Kalshi’s markets cover a wide range of topics including economics, international affairs, media and. Event Details. Kalshi smashes all the. Albedo Topher Haddad is the cofounder and CEO. 01 for a Yes or No on a subject, and you are correct at expiration. Right now, there is a heavy 79-cent valuation on the contract shares predicting that NYC will see more than 1 inch of snow in the month of December. Hedge funds and other major Wall Street firms could soon get to bet as much as $100 million on which US political party will control Congress under a new plan from Kalshi Inc. The CPI measures the average change in prices of a basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. - The leadership is awesome, Luana and Tarek are young and very open with new opinions and ideas. Hashes for kalshi_python-2. The process involves a review of a market’s outcome determination by members of Kalshi’s team. — President and CEO Dennis M. The debut comes amid a groundswell of interest in day. Kalshi, a firm founded by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, was designated as a contract market by the. 74M over 5 rounds. Online platform for NDA Coaching in Allahabad: –. Trading event contracts, which is akin to betting, is extremely easy on Kalshi. Information Returns like Forms 1099-B and 1099-MISC that you may be familiar with are filed with the IRS under your TIN (usually a Social Security Number) and are also furnished to taxpayers. In addition, on June 23, 2023, the Commission opened a public comment period to help evaluate Kalshi’s submission. Kalshi is a federally regulated financial exchange that allows investors to trade. 01 fee for one contract priced at the same valuation. Bloomberg News. We support US dollars as a method for funding your account. Opens at 8:00am EDT. Kalshi’s contracts can be used by traders who have direct exposure to an index, such as through a 401K, to hedge risk directly related to that exposure. ⌘/. Your forecast is 0. 01. The future of Kalshi’s development tools will be guided by the community that uses them. 11(c), on June 22, 2023. . Monday, June 26, 2023. The second is to sell your position after a favorable fluctuation in prices. S. Dec 2019 - Feb 2021 1 year 3 months. Event contracts offer direct exposure to or a hedge to a wide range of risks including inflation, fed rates, debt ceiling, recessions, student loans, politics, climate and weather, and more. Additionally, as outlined in Rule 7. The prime minister opened the flyover and the road after unveiling a plaque at a civic rally that turned into a. The effort by Kalshi, which already hosts trading on the outcome of real-world events such as when the Hollywood writers strike might end and whether there will be a government shutdown, is the. For instance, given a topic "will it rain tomorrow" people would buy "yes" or "no" options and their price would change frequently according to supply and demand. It aims to provide liquidity to all the markets in the Kalshi Exchange, as well as price them efficiently. Kalshi has raised $38. 99. Not only that, but Kalshi has also had many meetings with members of Congress. Kalshi is the first federally regulated financial exchange where you can trade on the outcome of real world events. Washington, D. Kalshi’s market questions may seem broad, but each contract has a very specific set of criteria that must be met in order for settlement to occur in a specific direction, whether the outcome is Yes or No.